India was aware of the highly contagious nature of this disease so it took early steps for containment of this disease. Initially, School/Colleges were closed and then finally 21 days lockdown was imposed from March 25, 2020, which then further extended to May 3, 2020. Through lockdown in early stages, India successfully contained the COVID – 19 and brought down the growth rate of infections (cumulative) from exponential growth to the proportionate growth. On the other hand, the rate of growth of recoveries (cumulative) demonstrated exponential growth rate which further benefitted India. The deaths (cumulative) is also showing a proportional growth rate which is another good sign for India. The stringency level of lockdown depends upon the growth rates of infections (cumulative), recoveries (cumulative) and deaths (cumulative). We developed 64 scenarios and then determine the stringency level for each scenario based on upon Logarithmic model under certain assumptions. However, these 64 scenarios are not exhaustive and there could be more scenarios. Thus, we are able to develop a quantitative approach for management of lockdown in India amidst COVID – 19 Pandemic.

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Keywords: COVID–19, Pandemic, SARS-CoV-2, Novel Coronavirus, Outbreak, Lockdown.