A STUDY OF SEIR MODELLING OF THE SARS-COV-2 (WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO RAJASTHAN STATE)

This research paper is developed to create and designed to propose a Conurbation Prevention Policy which pertains the operational stratagem to further administer the pandemic situations, where researchers proposed data-driven epidemic simulations, based on the SEIR model, with social distancing and quarantining as variables in order to estimate the ideal conditions for punctilious procedural recommencing of educational institutions. The simulations are based upon the data, collected from various statistical provenances, having similar initial states (i.e., Reproductive Number, Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Removed population etc.) with reference to the state of Rajasthan (India). The predictive capability of the model has been validated with real data of infection cases reported during October 5 – 15, 2020. On the behalf of the projected results from the simulations, researchers have developed the feasible policy paradigm, which helps to reinstate the entire system in terms of Urban Domain. The research paper is divided into four sections - Introduction, Research Methodology, Results & Discussion and Conclusion. Research is aimed at providing policymakers an unbiased direction over the opening of Educational Institutions in Rajasthan.

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Keywords: SEIR, SEIR Model, SEIR Simulation, Epidemic Simulations, SEIR Model Calculator.


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